UL Urban Lens Demo
Sioux Falls, SDMinnehaha County
All studies

Civic transparency / Demo study

Public impacts.
Open to question.

Explore the public money, resource demands, and local jobs behind this proposal. This demo uses illustrative assumptions, not verified project figures. Check the sources and evidence gaps before drawing conclusions.

500 MW

Before cooling and facility overhead. Jobs, build time, and public costs remain separate assumptions.

Model updated instantlyRefresh attempted Nov 9, 2026
Demonstration dataEvery adjustable project, public-cost, counterfactual, and sample-document value is illustrative. Public jurisdiction sources remain cited for context.

Fiscal years start at construction. Full operations begin in year 6; no partial-build ramp is assumed. Tax rates and levies are held constant as a sensitivity, not a forecast. Local receipts include city, county, schools, and districts; state receipts are separate.

Not ready for a final vote21 material evidence items are unresolved. Results are conditional estimates, not audited findings.

Decision overview

Explain this for

Plain-language briefing

What does this mean for my community?

The campus could bring 3,500 workers during construction, but settles at about 200 permanent jobs. Under this deal, modeled local-government receipts are worth $335.2M today, excluding state tax and before public costs; $0 is given up versus charging the full modeled tax.

Based on the model assumptions. Change any input to update this explanation.
Capital investment$4.25B$2.8B–$6.0B modeled range
All-government receipts · NPV$570.0M20-year value before public costs
Foregone revenue$0Implicit deal subsidy
Permanent jobs20017.5× construction-to-ops cliff
Placeholder local costs · NPV$117.7M$67.1M–$171.3M representative range
Provisional local fiscal balance$217.5MLocal receipts minus placeholder costs
Decision statusDefer21 material evidence gates unresolved
Alternative use$55.3MPlaceholder light-industrial counterfactual

Modeled receipts — not net benefit

What may stay local?

Preliminary
Local-government receipts NPV$335.2M
Local procurement$1.5B
Annual operations payroll$17.0M

Costs require verification: roads, emergency services, administration, housing mitigation, opportunity cost, or possible utility cost shifts. Until those are quantified, this is a planning sensitivity, not a net public benefit finding.

Load at steady state

Resource footprint

Power680 MW
160% of adjacent generation capacity
Water25,500 gal/day
Compliance unverified; assumed threshold only
Labor2,970 workers
Estimated peak construction in-migration
Model flags

↳ Fiscal outputs are constant-rate sensitivities, not a tax forecast or net social benefit estimate.

↳ Water compliance is unverified; the modeled threshold is not a legal determination.

↳ System-wide drought supply is unverified; treatment capacity is not firm supply.

↳ Unemployment of 1.8% does not establish qualified-worker availability; outside-area hiring is an assumption-based estimate.

↳ Facility draw is 160% of the adjacent plant nameplate. This is a scale comparison, not a grid-capacity or interconnection finding.